Week 13 DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football Picks, Lineup Tips for Sunday

Week 13 DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football Picks, Lineup Tips for Sunday

Week 13 DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football Picks, Lineup Tips for Sunday

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    Indianapolis Colts running back Zack Moss (21) runs against the Tennessee Titans during an NFL football game in Indianapolis, Sunday, Oct. 8, 2023. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)

    AP Photo/Michael Conroy

    This week’s Sunday slate is jam-packed, which means DFS players setting their lineups on DraftKings are going to have some excellent options.

    Below, we’ll break down the optimal Sunday-only lineup construction, with a fun and perhaps controversial surprise right off the bat. Let’s get into it.

QB: Kenny Pickett, Pittsburgh Steelers ($5,100)

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    CINCINNATI, OHIO - NOVEMBER 26: Kenny Pickett #8 of the Pittsburgh Steelers warms up prior to a game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)

    Dylan Buell/Getty Images

    Stay with me, folks. I know this is a eyebrow-raising way to start your DFS lineup.

    Last week, Pickett finished 24-of-33 for 278 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions against the Cincinnati Bengals. He immediately looked much, much better than he had in the Matt Canada era, more closely resembling the player who received plenty of preseason hype.

    Mina Kimes @minakimes

    Wks 1-11, Kenny Pickett only targeted the middle of the field 50 times (the lowest # in the NFL) and had the worst EPA/DB when doing so.

    On Sunday, he went 9/11 for 133 yds throwing MOF

    This week’s pod: https://t.co/LYDKPf1n5M

    Watch + subscribe here: https://t.co/CfsNEhqTO4 pic.twitter.com/2fteZsO1YO

    Sam Monson @PFF_Sam

    Kenny Pickett’s PFF grade under Matt Canada: 72.9

    Kenny Pickett’s PFF grade in his first game without Canada: 91.6

    And this week, he gets an Arizona Cardinals defense giving up the ninth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks per week. Players who already shredded this defense include Daniel Jones, Brock Purdy, Joe Burrow, Deshaun Watson, C.J. Stroud and Matthew Stafford.

    Nobody is saying Pickett is going to go off for 30 points. But he’s a candidate to get you 20 points while saving a ton of budget to load up the rest of your roster. It’s risky, but playing it safe doesn’t win in DFS.

RB: Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($6,300)

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    INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - NOVEMBER 26: Rachaad White #1 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers runs the ball in the game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)

    Justin Casterline/Getty Images

    Rachaad White has six straight weeks with at least 15 points in DFS and the Carolina Panthers give up the third most fantasy points to opposing running backs per week.

    Rotoworld Football @rotoworld_fb

    It may be in your best interest to start Rachaad White. pic.twitter.com/D9LdJdynzz

    A good player, a great value and a very appealing matchup—what’s not to like?

RB: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots ($6,000)

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - NOVEMBER 26: Rhamondre Stevenson #38 of the New England Patriots celebrates after scoring a rushing touchdown during the third quarter against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on November 26, 2023 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

    Elsa/Getty Images

    Rhamondre Stevenson has put up 21 or more points in DFS leagues in two of the past three games and now gets a Chargers defense that gives up the ninth most fantasy points to opposing running backs per week.

    Somebody has to get the ball in New England. It might as well be Stevenson, who is a solid value given his recent production.

Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers ($7,100)

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    SANTA CLARA, CA - NOVEMBER 19: Brandon Aiyuk #11 of the San Francisco 49ers before the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Levi's Stadium on November 19, 2023 in Santa Clara, California. The 49ers defeated the Buccaneers 27-14. (Photo by Michael Zagaris/San Francisco 49ers/Getty Images)

    Michael Zagaris/San Francisco 49ers/Getty Images

    You probably don’t need much justification as to why Brandon Aiyuk is a viable DFS option—he’s on an excellent offense that is facing a Philadelphia Eagles defense giving up the most fantasy points to opposing wideouts per week, and by a fairly substantial margin.

    The question you probably have is why go with Aiyuk over the cheaper Deebo Samuel?

    The main answer is consistency.

    Aiyuk has only dipped below double-digit scoring twice this season and has never registered less than seven points. Samuel, meanwhile, has done so three times and scored 1.1 or fewer points twice. And while Samuel’s ceiling may appear to be higher, given his threat on the ground, he’s gone for 20 or more points three times, same as Aiyuk. And the latter hit 35 points in Week 1, a high point Samuel hasn’t equalled this year.

    Samuel is also far more reliant on being impactful in the run game to pop off in fantasy, with three of his four touchdowns this season coming via the rushing attack. The Eagles are stingier in that regard, another mark against Samuel.

    The truth is that either player can pop off against the Eagles, and it’s likely both will feast. In that case, why not go with the player who has been better overall this season?

    That’s Aiyuk. It’s costing you a fair amount of budget to do so, but rolling with Pickett in this lineup gives you that luxury. If you hate the idea of starting Picket, you could always replace Aiyuk with Samuel and throw Brock Purdy into your starting lineup at quarterback. That’s up to you.

WR: Michael Pittman Jr., Indianapolis Colts ($7,100)

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    INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - NOVEMBER 26: Wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. #11 of the Indianapolis Colts catches a pass during the first half of an NFL football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on November 26, 2023 in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Colts beat the Buccaneers 27-20. (Photo by Todd Rosenberg/Getty Images)

    Todd Rosenberg/Getty Images

    Michael Pittman Jr. keeps on chugging along, with double-digit points in DFS formats in all but one game this season and three performances over 20 points.

    He gets a very nice matchup with a Tennessee Titans defense that gives up the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts per week.

    A safe, easy pick with plenty of upside.

WR: Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints ($6,900)

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    ATLANTA, GA - NOVEMBER 26: New Orleans Saints wide receiver Chris Olave (12) runs during the Week 12 NFL game between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints on November 26, 2023 at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by David J. Griffin/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

    David J. Griffin/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    Another week, another Chris Olave recommendation.

    Two straight games with exactly 21.4 points on DraftKings means Olave is one of the better values at his price tag.

    Add in a solid matchup against a Detroit Lions defense giving up the sixth most fantasy points to opposing wideouts per week and you shouldn’t have to think hard about this selection (though this changes if he’s ruled out for Sunday’s matchup due to a concussion).

TE: Logan Thomas, Washington Commanders ($3,600)

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    SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - NOVEMBER 12: Logan Thomas #82 of the Washington Commanders  runs on the field against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field on November 12, 2023 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Tom Hauck/Getty Images)

    Tom Hauck/Getty Images

    We aren’t prioritizing tight ends heavily in this roster construction, so Logan Thomas represents a solid value on the cheap end.

    Before last week’s poor outing, he had posted seven or more DFS points in five straight games. We’ll take that upside at his price point.

FLEX: Zack Moss, RB, Indianapolis Colts ($4,600)

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    INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - NOVEMBER 26: Zack Moss #21 of the Indianapolis Colts catches a pass in the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)

    Justin Casterline/Getty Images

    With Jonathan Taylor out of action and undergoing thumb surgery, Zack Moss should be in every lineup construction you have for DFS given his bargain-bin price point.

    Between Weeks 2-4 Moss served as Indy’s feature back and he thrived, posting 280 rushing yards, six receptions for 42 yards and two total touchdowns. The next week Taylor returned but Moss still saw a heavy workload, turning out 36.5 points in DFS formats.

    Mike Chappell @mchappell51

    Zack Moss will carry Colts run game until Jonathan Taylor returns.
    *10th in NFL in rushing (672 yds) despite recent diminished role.
    *165 yds vs Titans in week 5 4th-most by RB this season
    *there have been 21 games with RB gaining at least 122. Moss has 2 of them.

    The opponent that week just so happened to be the Titans, his opponent this week too. Get him in those lineups and don’t think twice.

D/ST: Indianapolis Colts

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    INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - OCTOBER 30: The Indianapolis Colts defense lines up in the game against the Washington Commanders at Lucas Oil Stadium on October 30, 2022 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)

    Justin Casterline/Getty Images

    The Colts are averaging 17.6 points in DFS formats over the past three weeks, albeit against the Carolina Panthers, New England Patriots and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But the Titans aren’t exactly world-beaters on offense.

    There’s no need to go expensive at defense, so the Colts have just enough upside to make them an intriguing bargain-bin selection.

    Remaining Budget: $0

    For all the latest betting information and reaction, check out B/R Betting.

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