NFL Week 13 Odds: Best Picks to Bet on Sunday’s Schedule

NFL Week 13 Odds: Best Picks to Bet on Sunday’s Schedule

NFL Week 13 Odds: Best Picks to Bet on Sunday’s Schedule 

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - NOVEMBER 24: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT)  Tua Tagovailoa #1 of the Miami Dolphins in action against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on November 24, 2023 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Dolphins defeated the Jets 34-13.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    The Miami Dolphins are expected to have yet another explosive afternoon through the air in NFL Week 13.

    Tua Tagovailoa and Co. face the Washington Commanders, who have one of the league’s worst passing defenses, on Sunday.

    The Dolphins are the largest favorite on Sunday’s slate, but that should not deter you from selecting them as one of your best bets.

    Washington has been gashed by top-tier wide receivers all season and it allowed 76 points in its last two games.

    The firing of defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio may not do anything to help the Commanders as they inch closer to a top-five pick in the 2023 NFL draft.

    Miami is one of a few favorites who can be trusted in mismatches on Sunday. The Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers feel like safe picks against the spread as well.

Miami (-9) at Washington

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    EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - NOVEMBER 24: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Miami Dolphins runs with the ball after a catch against the New York Jets during the first quarter in the game at MetLife Stadium on November 24, 2023 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)

    Rich Schultz/Getty Images

    Miami’s incredible passing offense should feast on the porous Washington secondary.

    The Commanders gave up their fourth 300-yard concession through the air on Thanksgiving Day in the blowout loss to the Dallas Cowboys.

    The Seattle Seahawks and the Philadelphia Eagles on two occasions posted over 300 passing yards against the Commanders.

    Washington allowed 146 points in those four defeats, the worst of which was by 35 points to Dallas 10 days ago.

    Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should post massive receiving-yard totals against a Commanders defense that has given up the most yards to opposing wide receivers.

    All Miami’s passing offense does is throw the ball to wide receivers, so Tagovailoa should pick apart the mismatches across the Washington secondary.

    Miami produced five double-digit wins so far this season, and as long as its offense plays at its expected level, it should add another victory to that tally at FedEx Field.

Atlanta (-2) at New York Jets

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    ATLANTA, GEORGIA - NOVEMBER 26: Kyle Pitts #8 of the Atlanta Falcons warms up prior to the game against the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)

    Todd Kirkland/Getty Images

    The New York Jets proved week in and week out that they do not have a competitive offense.

    That unit hit a new low in Week 12, as it gained nothing of significance on the Miami defense at home.

    The Atlanta Falcons have not had the best defensive season, but they have held four teams under 20 points. Their lowest point concession came against the Carolina Panthers, who like the Jets, are going through all sorts of offensive struggles.

    New York has no magic fix in sight for its offense, so that could mean another week of struggles behind Tim Boyle.

    Atlanta’s offense is coming together nicely now that head coach Arthur Smith involved rookie running back Bijan Robinson more.

    Robinson earned 38 carries over the last two weeks and produced 132 total yards in the Week 12 win over the New Orleans Saints.

    Atlanta should use a heavy dose of Robinson to wear down the Jets defense and pull away inside MetLife Stadium.

    The Falcons could leave Sunday with a big advantage in the NFC South. A win over the Jets combined with New Orleans Saints loss to the Detroit Lions would put them one game up in the win column with a head-to-head win in hand.

Carolina at Tampa Bay (-3.5)

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    INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - NOVEMBER 26: Baker Mayfield #6 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers reacts during the game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

    Michael Hickey/Getty Images

    It is hard to buy into the Carolina Panthers’ potential interim head coach bump when they have been so bad in 2023.

    Carolina has not scored more than 15 points in the five games since its Week 7 bye and it has not had a 300-yard game on offense during that stretch.

    The Buccaneers may not be the most trustworthy team to bet on, either, as they come into Sunday with one win in their last seven games, but at least they can score. Baker Mayfield led the Bucs to 91 points over the last four weeks.

    Tampa Bay was snakebit by turnovers in some of those games. It gave the ball away twice in each of the last two games and six times in the last four.

    Carolina comes into Sunday without a takeaway in the last three games, so if Mayfield can keep the ball in his hands, it seems like Tampa Bay can put up a decent number on the Panthers.

    Do not count out Tampa Bay’s playoff motivation in this contest as well. A win gets the Bucs within one game of the Minnesota Vikings and Seattle Seahawks in the wild-card race and it also keeps them alive in the NFC South with a road trip to Atlanta ahead in Week 14.

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