NFL Week 13 DFS: Cheap Targets and Pricey Fades on DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football

NFL Week 13 DFS: Cheap Targets and Pricey Fades on DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football

NFL Week 13 DFS: Cheap Targets and Pricey Fades on DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football

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    Texans RB Devin Singletary

    Texans RB Devin SingletaryLogan Riely/Getty Images

    Week 13 got off to its start on Thursday night, as the Dallas Cowboys battled the Washington Commanders. For daily fantasy sports (DFS) enthusiasts, the game provided a few notable standouts.

    Dak Prescott, Geno Smith, CeeDee Lamb and DK Metcalf all shined in the Week-13 opener.

    Now it’s time to eye the rest of the Week 13 slate, one that will feature six fewer teams than Week 12 did. This week, the Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Chicago Bears, Las Vegas Raiders, Minnesota Vikings and New York Giants are on bye.

    Injuries will once again play a factor, as players like Aaron Jones, Hayden Hurst and Demario Douglas have already been ruled out.

    Below, we’ll dive into some of our favorite sleeper plays for Week 13 and examine a few risky options that should give managers some pause.

Quarterback

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    Steelers QB Kenny Pickett

    Steelers QB Kenny PickettDylan Buell/Getty Images

    Target: Kenny Pickett, Pittsburgh Steelers, $5,100

    While the Pittsburgh Steelers’ firing of Matt Canada didn’t result in a points explosion, the Steelers offense did operate more efficiently in Week 12. The Steelers topped 400 yards, and quarterback Kenny Pickett threw for a season-high 278 yards.

    Pickett represents a solid value target for managers looking to splurge on skill players. He should have a similar yardage total against an underwhelming Arizona Cardinals defense, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him find the end zone a time or two.

    The Cardinals have allowed the seventh most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks through the first 12 weeks of the season.

    Fade: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers, $8,000

    There’s no denying the fact that the New England Patriots haven’t been good this season. However, they’ve often been solid defensively, and they can provide a lot of resistance to opposing quarterbacks at times.

    New England has allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

    That’s a potential problem for Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, who has had his fair share of down weeks this season. Last Sunday, for example, he had just 217 passing yards with a touchdown, an interception and a fumble. Keenan Allen’s quad injury is also a big potential problem for the 25-year-old.

    Herbert is too risky to trust in this matchup and at this price point.

Running Back

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    Texans RB Devin Singletary

    Texans RB Devin SingletaryCooper Neill/Getty Images

    Target: Devin Singletary, Houston Texans, $5,900

    The Denver Broncos defense has improved dramatically over the past month, but it is still susceptible to the run. Last week, the Cleveland Browns amassed 107 rushing yards despite the curious decision to only run it 24 times.

    The Broncos have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season.

    It’s a strong matchup for Houston Texans back Devin Singletary, who also provides a solid point-per-reception (PPR) floor. Singletary only rushed for 18 yards last week, but he caught six passes for another 54.

    Fade: Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals, $6,200

    Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon finished Week 12 with 60 scrimmage yards, but the bulk of his production came on one busted catch-and-run. He averaged just 2.0 yards per carry and finished with only two receptions.

    “This has nothing to do with Joe Mixon,” Bengals head coach Zac Taylor said, per Laurel Pfahler of the Dayton Daily News. “This is the entirety of the unit coming together.”

    The reality is that the Bengals have struggled to run consistently, and Taylor has refused to lean on the ground game, even with backup Jake Browning in at quarterback.

    It’s too difficult to trust Mixon, given his projected role against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to RBs.

Wide Receiver

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    Cardinals WR Greg Dortch

    Cardinals WR Greg DortchLeslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

    Target: Greg Dortch, Arizona Cardinals, $3,700

    With Kyler Murray back under center, Cardinals receiver Greg Dortch has started to return to fantasy relevance. Dortch finished Week 12 with three catches on nine targets for 27 yards and a touchdown.

    While it would be nice to see a little more consistency from Dortch, he should factor heavily into this week’s game plan. That gives him a solid floor against a Steelers defense that has often underwhelmed against the pass.

    The Steelers have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing receivers.

    Fade: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets, $6,000

    Benching Zach Wilson for Tim Boyle didn’t exactly boost the New York Jets defense in Week 12. However, star wideout Garrett Wilson still had a solid outing, finishing with seven catches for 44 yards and a touchdown.

    However, Wilson will have a much tougher matchup this week against a vastly underrated Atlanta Falcons defense.

    The Falcons have allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. They’ve also been fairly good against the run (4.1 yards per carry allowed) and can focus on containing Wilson and forcing Boyle to beat them with other targets.

    Wilson should be considered a boom-or-bust play in Week 13 and a risk at this price point.

Tight End

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    Jets TE Tyler Conklin

    Jets TE Tyler ConklinPerry Knotts/Getty Images

    Target: Tyler Conklin, New York Jets, $3,000

    Tight end Tyler Conklin is one of New York’s ancillary targets who could benefit from the attention that Wilson garners. He hasn’t often been a big part of the game plan, but when he has been, he’s usually produced.

    Against the Las Vegas Raiders, for example, Conklin caught all seven of his targets for 70 yards. Last week, he was only targeted five times but caught four passes for 33 yards.

    Expect the Jets to get Conklin involved early and often against the Falcons, who have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to his position.

    Fade: Tyler Higbee, Los Angeles Rams, $3,700

    While the Browns defense has shown some cracks as of late, it has remained a problem for opposing tight ends. While Denver’s Adam Trautman did catch a touchdown pass last week, that eight-yard grab was the only reception by a Broncos tight end.

    Cleveland has allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

    Expect the Los Angeles Rams to attack the Browns with their ground game and with standout receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. That makes Tyler Higbee a very touchdown-dependent DFS option. While he had two TD grabs against Arizona in Week 12, don’t expect him to replicate that red-zone success.

    *Fantasy scoring information from FantasyPros.

    Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com for details.

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