Chiefs vs. Packers Picks, Lineup Tips for Daily Fantasy DraftKings for SNF

Chiefs vs. Packers Picks, Lineup Tips for Daily Fantasy DraftKings for SNF

Chiefs vs. Packers Picks, Lineup Tips for Daily Fantasy DraftKings for SNF

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    Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes

    Chiefs QB Patrick MahomesCandice Ward/Getty Images

    The Week 13 Sunday slate is set to be capped by an intriguing matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers. The game has gotten much more interesting in recent weeks, as the Packers are on a two-game winning streak and have reentered the NFC playoff picture.

    The Chiefs, meanwhile, are still in the mix for the AFC’s No. 1 seed. This game will also mark Patrick Mahomes’ first trip to Lambeau Field.

    “I’m extremely excited for it,” Mahomes told reporters on Wednesday.

    There is no shortage of reasons to watch, but fans looking to add another one can always turn to a little daily fantasy sports (DFS) action.

General DFS Tips for SNF

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    Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco

    Chiefs RB Isiah PachecoCandice Ward/Getty Images

    If this was a 2022 game, it would be easy to suggest leaning heavily toward Chiefs players for Sunday night-only or Sunday-Monday DFS contests. However, Kansas City’s offense hasn’t played at a consistently high level, and the Packers have started to find a rhythm.

    This is why taking a flier on Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love ($5.8K) could be a fine budget maneuver instead of just inking in Patrick Mahomes ($7.7K). Kansas City has allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs, but Love has some quality scrambling upside.

    A lot will hinge on how you view last week’s offensive breakout against the Las Vegas Raiders. The Chiefs scored 17 points after intermission in that game but were held scoreless in the second half of their three previous contests. If you believe the Raiders game was a mirage, Mahomes looks a bit risky. The Packers have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

    The smart play here could be to save a little on Love and splurge on skill players like tight end Travis Kelce ($7.6K), who is virtually matchup-proof. Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco ($6.7K) also seems like a strong play based on workload.

    Last week, Pacheco tallied 99 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns on 20 touches.

    The Kansas City defense/special teams unit ($3.1K) is the one to roster in this matchup. While the Chiefs offense hasn’t been perfect, it has made fewer mistakes than Green Bay’s—though it’s close. The Chiefs have allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing D/ST units, while the Packers have allowed the 1th-fewest.

    Sacks and turnovers should be the deciding factor here (and perhaps in the game itself). Kansas City has recorded 37 sacks, while Green Bay has recorded only 26. The Chiefs have had a defensive takeaway in every game but one, while the Packers have had three takeaway-free games this season.

Trust WR Rashee Rice

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    Chiefs WR Rashee Rice

    Chiefs WR Rashee RiceJeff Bottari/Getty Images

    Kelce is a veritable must-start, and Pacheco isn’t far behind. Things get a lot trickier after that because of the two defenses involved. Kansas City has allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers and the 14th-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. Green Bay has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs but the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing wideouts.

    That said, Chiefs rookie receiver Rashee Rice ($5.7K) can probably be trusted in one of the receiver spots. He had a breakout eight-catch, 107-yard, one-touchdown game in Week 12, but he was regularly featured before then.

    In Rice’s past seven games, he’s caught at least four passes in all but one. He only caught two passes for 17 yards against the Miami Dolphins, but he finished that game with a touchdown. Rice has also found the end zone in two of his last three games and three of the last five.

    Rice’s floor is high enough to consider him WR1 in SNF-only games, and he’s a solid flex play in Sunday-Monday contests as well.

Consider Jayden Reed for Value

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    Packers WR Jayden Reed

    Packers WR Jayden ReedStacy Revere/Getty Images

    With Aaron Jones (knee) ruled out, AJ Dillon ($5.3K) will likely slot in as RB2 for most managers. Packers receiver Jayden Reed (chest) did return to practice on Friday, and he should provide some flex value in SNF-only contests.

    At a price point of $4,500, Reed is a slightly better bargain than Christian Watson ($4.7K) who is the top-priced Packers receiver, though Watson is coming off a five-catch, 94-yard, one-touchdown outing and will likely slot in as WR2.

    Reed has become a constant part of the Green Bay passing attack, logging at least four receptions in each of his last three games and finding the end zone in two of them. He’s the safest flex option for SNF-only games, though he probably isn’t worth a look in Sunday-Monday matchups.

    Monday night’s game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Cincinnati Bengals will feature more dependable receivers like Ja’Marr Chase ($7.9K), Tee Higgins ($6.0K) and Christian Kirk ($5.9K). That should leave managers dipping lightly into Sunday night’s game for receivers.

    *Fantasy scoring information from FantasyPros.

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